Duke vs. Wake Forest Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 3

Published 5:18 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025

Monday’s contest at Cameron Indoor Stadium has the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (26-3, 17-1 ACC) matching up with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (20-9, 12-6 ACC) at 7 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 81-60 win, as our model heavily favors Duke.

Based on our computer prediction, Duke should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 19.5. The two teams are projected to go under the 143.5 over/under.

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Duke vs. Wake Forest Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Durham, North Carolina
  • Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium
  • Line: Duke -19.5
  • Point total: 143.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Duke -4545, Wake Forest +1600

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Duke vs. Wake Forest Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Duke 81, Wake Forest 60

Spread & Total Prediction for Duke vs. Wake Forest

  • Pick ATS: Duke (-19.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (143.5)

Duke is 19-10-0 against the spread, while Wake Forest’s ATS record this season is 13-16-0. The Blue Devils have hit the over in 15 games, while Demon Deacons games have gone over 13 times. The two teams combine to score 154.2 points per game, 10.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Duke has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in the last 10 contests. Wake Forest has gone 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 games.

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Duke Performance Insights

  • The Blue Devils have a +639 scoring differential, topping opponents by 22.1 points per game. They’re putting up 83.2 points per game to rank 16th in college basketball and are giving up 61.1 per outing to rank sixth in college basketball.
  • Duke comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 9.3 boards. It is recording 36 rebounds per game (22nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.7 per contest.
  • Duke connects on 10.3 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball), 3.6 more than its opponents (6.7).
  • The Blue Devils’ 111.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in college basketball, and the 81.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fourth in college basketball.
  • Duke has won the turnover battle by 1.8 turnovers per game, committing nine (12th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.8 (238th in college basketball).

Wake Forest Performance Insights

  • The Demon Deacons’ +85 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by three points per game) is a result of putting up 71 points per game (265th in college basketball) while giving up 68 per contest (67th in college basketball).
  • Wake Forest is 302nd in the nation at 29.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.9 its opponents average.
  • Wake Forest knocks down 5.5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 2.5 fewer than its opponents.
  • Wake Forest wins the turnover battle by 2.1 per game, committing 10.8 (139th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.9.

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