UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 5

Published 1:18 am Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Wednesday’s contest at McAlister Field House has the UNC Greensboro Spartans (14-9, 7-3 SoCon) squaring off against the Citadel Bulldogs (5-16, 0-10 SoCon) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 76-63 win, as our model heavily favors UNC Greensboro.

Based on our computer prediction, UNC Greensboro projects to cover the 12.5-point spread in its matchup versus Citadel. The over/under is listed at 132.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Charleston, South Carolina
  • Venue: McAlister Field House
  • Line: UNC Greensboro -12.5
  • Point total: 132.5
  • Moneyline (to win): UNC Greensboro -1099, Citadel +650

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UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    UNC Greensboro 76, Citadel 63

Spread & Total Prediction for UNC Greensboro vs. Citadel

  • Pick ATS: UNC Greensboro (-12.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (132.5)

UNC Greensboro is 11-9-0 against the spread, while Citadel’s ATS record this season is 6-11-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Spartans are 9-11-0 and the Bulldogs are 8-9-0. The two teams combine to score 141.3 points per game, 8.8 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, UNC Greensboro is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall.

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UNC Greensboro Performance Insights

  • The Spartans outscore opponents by 8.5 points per game (scoring 73.4 points per game to rank 210th in college basketball while giving up 64.9 per contest to rank 25th in college basketball) and have a +197 scoring differential overall.
  • UNC Greensboro grabs 33.5 rebounds per game (118th in college basketball) while conceding 30.1 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.4 boards per game.
  • UNC Greensboro connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball) while shooting 38.3% from deep (19th in college basketball). It is making 3.1 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 6.7 per game while shooting 29.3%.
  • The Spartans rank 115th in college basketball with 98.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 52nd in college basketball defensively with 87 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • UNC Greensboro forces 10.3 turnovers per game (297th in college basketball) while committing 10 (50th in college basketball action).

Citadel Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs put up 67.9 points per game (322nd in college basketball) while allowing 74.6 per outing (266th in college basketball). They have a -141 scoring differential and have been outscored by 6.7 points per game.
  • The 31.2 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 248th in the nation, 1.9 fewer than the 33.1 its opponents pull down.
  • Citadel connects on 8.2 three-pointers per game (135th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.6 on average.
  • Citadel loses the turnover battle by 1.5 per game, committing 12.4 (277th in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.9.

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