Thursday’s game that pits the No. 13 North Carolina Tar Heels (17-3) against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-11) at Carmichael Arena is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 74-51 in favor of North Carolina, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 23.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina projects to cover the 22.5-point spread in its matchup against Wake Forest. The over/under has been set at 120.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 23, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ACC Network X
• Where: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Venue: Carmichael Arena
• Line: North Carolina -22.5
• Point total: 120.5

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 74, Wake Forest 51

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Wake Forest

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (-22.5)
• Pick OU: Over (120.5)

North Carolina is 9-7-0 against the spread this season compared to Wake Forest’s 1-4-0 ATS record. A total of six out of the Tar Heels’ games this season have hit the over, and three of the Demon Deacons’ games have gone over. The teams average 134.8 points per game, 14.3 more points than this matchup’s total. North Carolina has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in the last 10 games. Wake Forest has gone 1-4 against the spread and 0-5 overall in its last 10 games.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels average 73.1 points per game (76th in college basketball) while allowing 53.5 per outing (eighth in college basketball). They have a +392 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 19.6 points per game.
• North Carolina wins the rebound battle by 3.8 boards on average. It records 36.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 41st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.8 per contest.
• North Carolina hits 8.3 three-pointers per game (36th in college basketball) at a 33.7% rate (86th in college basketball), compared to the 5.3 per game its opponents make at a 26.4% rate.
• The Tar Heels rank 74th in college basketball with 90 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth in college basketball defensively with 65.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• North Carolina has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (26th in college basketball play), 5.5 fewer than the 17.7 it forces on average (89th in college basketball).

Wake Forest Performance Insights

• The Demon Deacons have a +10 scoring differential, putting up 61.7 points per game (267th in college basketball) and giving up 61.1 (107th in college basketball).
• Wake Forest grabs 28.2 rebounds per game (331st in college basketball) while allowing 29.9 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.7 boards per game.
• Wake Forest connects on 5.9 three-pointers per game (199th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.1 on average.
• Wake Forest has committed 15.3 turnovers per game (153rd in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than the 16.8 it forces (126th in college basketball).

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