Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 21

Published 5:19 pm Monday, January 20, 2025

Tuesday’s contest at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum has the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-7, 5-2 ACC) squaring off against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-4, 6-1 ACC) at 9:00 PM (on January 21). Our computer prediction projects a victory for North Carolina by a score of 76-71, who is slightly favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, North Carolina should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 1.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 148.5 over/under.

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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Winston-Salem, North Carolina
  • Venue: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum
  • Line: Wake Forest -1.5
  • Point total: 148.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Wake Forest -122, North Carolina +102

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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    North Carolina 76, Wake Forest 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Wake Forest vs. North Carolina

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (148.5)

Wake Forest’s record against the spread so far this season is 8-10-0, while North Carolina’s is 7-12-0. A total of seven out of the Demon Deacons’ games this season have gone over the point total, and nine of the Tar Heels’ games have gone over. The two teams score an average of 153.2 points per game, 4.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Wake Forest is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall while North Carolina has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Wake Forest Performance Insights

  • The Demon Deacons’ +94 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.9 points per game (270th in college basketball) while giving up 65.7 per outing (42nd in college basketball).
  • Wake Forest comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. It is grabbing 30.3 rebounds per game (302nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.4 per outing.
  • Wake Forest connects on 6.2 three-pointers per game (324th in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (7.9).
  • The Demon Deacons score 92.8 points per 100 possessions (257th in college basketball), while allowing 86 points per 100 possessions (49th in college basketball).
  • Wake Forest has committed 11 turnovers per game (134th in college basketball play), 2.8 fewer than the 13.8 it forces on average (46th in college basketball).

North Carolina Performance Insights

  • The Tar Heels put up 82.3 points per game (32nd in college basketball) while giving up 75.8 per outing (293rd in college basketball). They have a +123 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 6.5 points per game.
  • North Carolina grabs 34.7 rebounds per game (78th in college basketball) while allowing 33.5 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.2 boards per game.
  • North Carolina makes 7.3 three-pointers per game (228th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1. It shoots 32.6% from deep, and its opponents shoot 31.9%.
  • North Carolina and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Tar Heels commit 10.7 per game (111th in college basketball) and force 10.8 (271st in college basketball).

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